If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at Aya Gold & Silver (TSE:AYA) so let's look a bit deeper.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Aya Gold & Silver, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.009 = US$1.8m ÷ (US$227m - US$28m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
Therefore, Aya Gold & Silver has an ROCE of 0.9%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 3.3%.
See our latest analysis for Aya Gold & Silver
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Aya Gold & Silver compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Aya Gold & Silver here for free.
What Can We Tell From Aya Gold & Silver's ROCE Trend?
Aya Gold & Silver has recently broken into profitability so their prior investments seem to be paying off. Shareholders would no doubt be pleased with this because the business was loss-making five years ago but is is now generating 0.9% on its capital. Not only that, but the company is utilizing 627% more capital than before, but that's to be expected from a company trying to break into profitability. This can tell us that the company has plenty of reinvestment opportunities that are able to generate higher returns.
In Conclusion...
Long story short, we're delighted to see that Aya Gold & Silver's reinvestment activities have paid off and the company is now profitable. And a remarkable 218% total return over the last five years tells us that investors are expecting more good things to come in the future. With that being said, we still think the promising fundamentals mean the company deserves some further due diligence.
One final note, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Aya Gold & Silver (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant) .
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:AYA
Aya Gold & Silver
Engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of precious metals projects in Morocco.
High growth potential with proven track record.