Stock Analysis

Amerigo Resources Ltd.'s (TSE:ARG) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

TSX:ARG
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Amerigo Resources Ltd. (TSE:ARG) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 6.4% over the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, Amerigo Resources' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 58.4x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 14x and even P/E's below 7x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Amerigo Resources has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Amerigo Resources

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:ARG Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 10th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Amerigo Resources will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For Amerigo Resources?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Amerigo Resources' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 21% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 39% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 486% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 19%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Amerigo Resources' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has got Amerigo Resources' P/E rushing to great heights as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Amerigo Resources' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Amerigo Resources that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Amerigo Resources' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Amerigo Resources is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.