Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With Almonty Industries Inc.'s (TSE:AII) Prospects As Shares Rocket 25%

TSX:AII
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Almonty Industries Inc. (TSE:AII) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 14% is also fairly reasonable.

Following the firm bounce in price, Almonty Industries may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.1x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada have P/S ratios under 3.1x and even P/S lower than 1.1x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Almonty Industries

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:AII Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 22nd 2024

How Has Almonty Industries Performed Recently?

Almonty Industries could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Almonty Industries will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Almonty Industries' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Almonty Industries' to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.4%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 65% per year during the coming three years according to the only analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 20% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Almonty Industries' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Almonty Industries' P/S

The strong share price surge has lead to Almonty Industries' P/S soaring as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Almonty Industries maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Metals and Mining industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Almonty Industries.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Almonty Industries is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.