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NeuPath Health Inc. (CVE:NPTH) Stock Catapults 32% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry
NeuPath Health Inc. (CVE:NPTH) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 32% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 39%.
Even after such a large jump in price, NeuPath Health may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Healthcare industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 1.1x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Our free stock report includes 1 warning sign investors should be aware of before investing in NeuPath Health. Read for free now.See our latest analysis for NeuPath Health
How NeuPath Health Has Been Performing
The revenue growth achieved at NeuPath Health over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on NeuPath Health will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on NeuPath Health's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For NeuPath Health?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like NeuPath Health's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. The latest three year period has also seen a 20% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's understandable that NeuPath Health's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift NeuPath Health's P/S close to the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
In line with expectations, NeuPath Health maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with NeuPath Health.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if NeuPath Health might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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