Stock Analysis

Nova Leap Health Corp. (CVE:NLH) Looks Just Right With A 28% Price Jump

TSXV:NLH
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Nova Leap Health Corp. (CVE:NLH) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 20% is also fairly reasonable.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Nova Leap Health's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Healthcare industry in Canada, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for Nova Leap Health

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:NLH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 23rd 2024

How Has Nova Leap Health Performed Recently?

Nova Leap Health could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Nova Leap Health.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Nova Leap Health's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.2%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 51% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 14% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 14% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Nova Leap Health's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Nova Leap Health's P/S

Nova Leap Health appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look at Nova Leap Health's revenue growth estimates show that its P/S is about what we expect, as both metrics follow closely with the industry averages. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. If all things remain constant, the possibility of a drastic share price movement remains fairly remote.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Nova Leap Health (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you need to be mindful of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Nova Leap Health is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.