Extendicare Inc.'s (TSE:EXE) investors are due to receive a payment of CA$0.04 per share on 15th of February. The dividend yield will be 7.3% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
View our latest analysis for Extendicare
Extendicare Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Before this announcement, Extendicare was paying out 19,786% of what it was earning, and not generating any free cash flows either. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating free cash flows is a major warning sign for the sustainability of the dividend as these levels are certainly a bit high.
Looking forward, EPS could fall by 63.4% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 50,931%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.
Extendicare's Track Record Isn't Great
The dividend is currently lower than it was 10 years ago, indicating that there has been a downward trend over that time. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from CA$0.84 total annually to CA$0.48. This works out to be a decline of approximately 5.4% per year over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. Extendicare's earnings per share has shrunk at 63% a year over the past five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in.
Extendicare's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. Although they have been consistent in the past, we think the payments are a little high to be sustained. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Just as an example, we've come across 5 warning signs for Extendicare you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit concerning. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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About TSX:EXE
Extendicare
Through its subsidiaries, provides care and services for seniors in Canada.
Solid track record with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.