The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Aleafia Health Inc. (TSE:AH) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Aleafia Health
What Is Aleafia Health's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Aleafia Health had CA$55.2m of debt, an increase on CA$50.2m, over one year. However, it does have CA$43.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CA$11.9m.
How Healthy Is Aleafia Health's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Aleafia Health had liabilities of CA$49.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$34.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$43.3m and CA$15.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CA$25.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded Aleafia Health shares are worth a total of CA$156.7m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Aleafia Health's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
In the last year Aleafia Health wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 221%, to CA$35m. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!
Caveat Emptor
Despite the top line growth, Aleafia Health still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$32m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CA$23m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Aleafia Health you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSX:AH
Aleafia Health
Aleafia Health Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as cannabis health and wellness company in Canada, Europe, and Australia.
Slightly overvalued with weak fundamentals.