Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Green Rise Foods (CVE:GRF) Stock A Year Ago, You Could Pocket A 900% Gain Today

TSXV:GRF
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While some are satisfied with an index fund, active investors aim to find truly magnificent investments on the stock market. When you buy and hold the right company, the returns can make a huge difference to both you and your family. For example, Green Rise Foods Inc. (CVE:GRF) has generated a beautiful 900% return in just a single year. It's also good to see the share price up 230% over the last quarter. Note that businesses generally develop over the long term, so the returns over the last year might not reflect a long term trend.

It really delights us to see such great share price performance for investors.

See our latest analysis for Green Rise Foods

Given that Green Rise Foods only made minimal earnings in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue to gauge its business development. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

In the last year Green Rise Foods saw its revenue shrink by 6.8%. So it's very confusing to see that the share price gained a whopping 900%. There can be no doubt this kind of decoupling of revenue growth and share price growth is unusual to see in loss making companies. While this gain looks like speculative buying to us, sometimes speculation pays off.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSXV:GRF Earnings and Revenue Growth January 25th 2021

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Green Rise Foods shareholders have gained 900% over the last year. A substantial portion of that gain has come in the last three months, with the stock up 230% in that time. Demand for the stock from multiple parties is pushing the price higher; it could be that word is getting out about its virtues as a business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Green Rise Foods (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Green Rise Foods is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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