Rogers Sugar Valuation

Is RSI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RSI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RSI (CA$5.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$10.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RSI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RSI?

Key metric: As RSI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RSI. This is calculated by dividing RSI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RSI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.6x
EarningsCA$47.04m
Market CapCA$727.85m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RSI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RSI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.7x
LAS.A Lassonde Industries
11.1x17.4%CA$1.2b
HLF High Liner Foods
5.2xn/aCA$445.9m
MFI Maple Leaf Foods
82.7xn/aCA$2.8b
PBH Premium Brands Holdings
36x49.6%CA$3.6b
RSI Rogers Sugar
15.6xn/aCA$727.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RSI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (33.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RSI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Food Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RSI 15.6xIndustry Avg. 19.3xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RSI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the North American Food industry average (19.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RSI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RSI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate RSI's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RSI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$5.74
CA$6.69
+16.5%
4.9%CA$7.00CA$6.25n/a4
Nov ’25CA$5.59
CA$6.69
+19.6%
4.9%CA$7.00CA$6.25n/a4
Oct ’25CA$5.75
CA$6.69
+16.3%
4.9%CA$7.00CA$6.25n/a4
Sep ’25CA$5.47
CA$6.69
+22.3%
4.9%CA$7.00CA$6.25n/a4
Aug ’25CA$5.73
CA$6.94
+21.1%
6.4%CA$7.50CA$6.25n/a4
Jul ’25CA$5.58
CA$6.94
+24.3%
6.4%CA$7.50CA$6.25n/a4
Jun ’25CA$5.83
CA$6.94
+19.0%
6.4%CA$7.50CA$6.25n/a4
May ’25CA$5.19
CA$6.15
+18.5%
3.3%CA$6.50CA$6.00n/a5
Apr ’25CA$5.30
CA$6.15
+16.0%
3.3%CA$6.50CA$6.00n/a5
Feb ’25CA$5.59
CA$6.05
+8.2%
5.5%CA$6.50CA$5.50n/a5
Jan ’25CA$5.38
CA$6.05
+12.5%
5.5%CA$6.50CA$5.50n/a5
Dec ’24CA$5.44
CA$6.05
+11.2%
5.5%CA$6.50CA$5.50n/a5
Nov ’24CA$5.11
CA$6.40
+25.2%
1.9%CA$6.50CA$6.25CA$5.595
Oct ’24CA$5.39
CA$6.40
+18.7%
1.9%CA$6.50CA$6.25CA$5.755
Sep ’24CA$5.78
CA$6.40
+10.7%
1.9%CA$6.50CA$6.25CA$5.475
Aug ’24CA$5.66
CA$6.40
+13.1%
1.9%CA$6.50CA$6.25CA$5.735
Jul ’24CA$5.77
CA$6.40
+10.9%
1.9%CA$6.50CA$6.25CA$5.585
Jun ’24CA$5.87
CA$6.40
+9.0%
1.9%CA$6.50CA$6.25CA$5.835
May ’24CA$6.37
CA$6.40
+0.5%
1.9%CA$6.50CA$6.25CA$5.195
Apr ’24CA$6.09
CA$6.40
+5.1%
1.9%CA$6.50CA$6.25CA$5.305
Mar ’24CA$6.25
CA$6.40
+2.4%
1.9%CA$6.50CA$6.25CA$5.195
Feb ’24CA$5.67
CA$6.20
+9.3%
3.0%CA$6.50CA$6.00CA$5.595
Jan ’24CA$5.69
CA$6.20
+9.0%
3.0%CA$6.50CA$6.00CA$5.385
Dec ’23CA$6.08
CA$6.20
+2.0%
3.0%CA$6.50CA$6.00CA$5.445
Nov ’23CA$5.94
CA$6.25
+5.2%
3.6%CA$6.50CA$6.00CA$5.115

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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