High Liner Foods Incorporated

TSX:HLF Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$445.9m

High Liner Foods Valuation

Is HLF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HLF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HLF (CA$14.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$26.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HLF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HLF?

Key metric: As HLF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HLF. This is calculated by dividing HLF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HLF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.2x
EarningsUS$60.65m
Market CapUS$318.90m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HLF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HLF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36.3x
RSI Rogers Sugar
15.6xn/aCA$727.8m
LAS.A Lassonde Industries
11.1x17.4%CA$1.2b
MFI Maple Leaf Foods
82.7xn/aCA$2.8b
PBH Premium Brands Holdings
36x49.6%CA$3.6b
HLF High Liner Foods
5.2xn/aCA$445.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HLF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the peer average (36.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HLF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Food Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HLF 5.2xIndustry Avg. 19.3xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HLF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x) compared to the North American Food industry average (19.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HLF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HLF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HLF's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HLF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$14.74
CA$16.39
+11.2%
11.5%CA$18.27CA$14.51n/a2
Nov ’25CA$13.06
CA$16.32
+25.0%
13.2%CA$18.47CA$14.17n/a2
Oct ’25CA$12.48
CA$15.39
+23.3%
13.0%CA$18.22CA$13.98n/a3
Sep ’25CA$13.40
CA$15.39
+14.9%
13.0%CA$18.22CA$13.98n/a3
Aug ’25CA$13.24
CA$15.49
+17.0%
13.3%CA$18.40CA$14.00n/a3
Jul ’25CA$13.39
CA$15.49
+15.7%
13.3%CA$18.40CA$14.00n/a3
Jun ’25CA$13.32
CA$15.42
+15.8%
13.1%CA$18.28CA$13.98n/a3
May ’25CA$13.25
CA$15.46
+16.7%
13.2%CA$18.34CA$13.99n/a3
Apr ’25CA$13.31
CA$15.42
+15.9%
13.0%CA$18.26CA$14.01n/a3
Mar ’25CA$12.77
CA$14.85
+16.3%
10.4%CA$17.02CA$13.51n/a3
Feb ’25CA$12.03
CA$13.45
+11.8%
15.4%CA$16.32CA$11.48n/a3
Jan ’25CA$11.82
CA$13.45
+13.8%
15.4%CA$16.32CA$11.48n/a3
Dec ’24CA$11.09
CA$13.75
+23.9%
16.4%CA$16.83CA$11.48n/a3
Nov ’24CA$10.66
CA$16.20
+52.0%
23.8%CA$21.32CA$12.01CA$13.063
Oct ’24CA$11.00
CA$18.03
+64.0%
16.5%CA$21.02CA$15.05CA$12.482
Sep ’24CA$12.00
CA$18.03
+50.3%
16.5%CA$21.02CA$15.05CA$13.402
Aug ’24CA$14.04
CA$20.99
+49.5%
19.0%CA$24.99CA$16.99CA$13.242
Jul ’24CA$13.91
CA$20.99
+50.9%
19.0%CA$24.99CA$16.99CA$13.392
Jun ’24CA$14.56
CA$20.99
+44.2%
19.0%CA$24.99CA$16.99CA$13.322
May ’24CA$14.67
CA$20.47
+39.5%
22.1%CA$24.99CA$15.95CA$13.252
Apr ’24CA$15.33
CA$20.47
+33.5%
22.1%CA$24.99CA$15.95CA$13.312
Mar ’24CA$15.28
CA$20.47
+34.0%
22.1%CA$24.99CA$15.95CA$12.772
Feb ’24CA$14.49
CA$19.45
+34.3%
28.2%CA$24.94CA$13.97CA$12.032
Jan ’24CA$13.77
CA$19.45
+41.3%
28.2%CA$24.94CA$13.97CA$11.822
Dec ’23CA$14.36
CA$19.45
+35.5%
28.2%CA$24.94CA$13.97CA$11.092
Nov ’23CA$13.12
CA$20.99
+60.0%
28.2%CA$26.91CA$15.06CA$10.662

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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