It's Down 29% But Flow Beverage Corp. (TSE:FLOW) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Flow Beverage Corp. (TSE:FLOW) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 58% loss during that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Flow Beverage may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Beverage industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
We've discovered 5 warning signs about Flow Beverage. View them for free.Check out our latest analysis for Flow Beverage
What Does Flow Beverage's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times haven't been great for Flow Beverage as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Flow Beverage's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Flow Beverage's Revenue Growth Trending?
Flow Beverage's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.9% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 7.8% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 51% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 4.2%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that Flow Beverage is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Key Takeaway
Flow Beverage's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Flow Beverage's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Flow Beverage (at least 2 which can't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of Flow Beverage's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:FLOW
Flow Beverage
Engages in the developing, marketing, selling, and distributing natural alkaline spring water-based beverages under the Flow brand name in Canada and the United States.The company’s spring water available in organic and natural flavours, such as blackberry+hibiscus, strawberry+rose, cucumber+mint, watermelon, grapefruit, cucumber, peach+blueberry, blood orange, meyer lemon, strawberry+kiwi, ginger+lemon, and pomegranate, as well as vitamin-infused water comprising elderberry, citrus, and cherry.
Undervalued moderate.
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