Benign Growth For Flow Beverage Corp. (TSE:FLOW) Underpins Stock's 26% Plummet
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Flow Beverage Corp. (TSE:FLOW) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 43% in that time.
Following the heavy fall in price, Flow Beverage may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x, considering almost half of all companies in the Beverage industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 1.4x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Flow Beverage
How Has Flow Beverage Performed Recently?
Recent times have been advantageous for Flow Beverage as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Flow Beverage will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Flow Beverage?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Flow Beverage would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 16% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 123% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 1.3% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 7.0%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Flow Beverage is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Flow Beverage's P/S?
Flow Beverage's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Beverage companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As expected, our analysis of Flow Beverage's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Flow Beverage that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:FLOW
Flow Beverage
Engages in the developing, marketing, selling, and distributing natural alkaline spring water-based beverages under the Flow brand name in Canada and the United States.
Slight and fair value.