Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Big Rock Brewery Inc.'s (TSE:BR) Tunnel

TSX:BR
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When close to half the companies operating in the Beverage industry in Canada have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.7x, you may consider Big Rock Brewery Inc. (TSE:BR) as an attractive investment with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

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ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:BR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 16th 2024

How Has Big Rock Brewery Performed Recently?

For instance, Big Rock Brewery's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Big Rock Brewery's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Big Rock Brewery's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 7.3%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.2% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we understand why Big Rock Brewery's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What Does Big Rock Brewery's P/S Mean For Investors?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Big Rock Brewery confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Big Rock Brewery (3 are a bit unpleasant!) that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Big Rock Brewery, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Big Rock Brewery is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.