Orca Energy Group Inc. (CVE:ORC.B) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 45% in that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Orca Energy Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Oil and Gas industry in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.1x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
See our latest analysis for Orca Energy Group
How Has Orca Energy Group Performed Recently?
With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, Orca Energy Group has been very sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Orca Energy Group.How Is Orca Energy Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Orca Energy Group's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 13% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 33% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 8.6% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 10% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.
With this information, we find it odd that Orca Energy Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Orca Energy Group's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Oil and Gas companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've seen that Orca Energy Group currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecast growth is in line with the wider industry. Despite average revenue growth estimates, there could be some unobserved threats keeping the P/S low. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Orca Energy Group has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSXV:ORC.B
Orca Energy Group
Engages in the exploration, development, production, and supply of petroleum and natural gas to the power and industrial sectors in Tanzania.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.