Stock Analysis

Highwood Asset Management Ltd. (CVE:HAM) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

TSXV:HAM
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x Highwood Asset Management Ltd. (CVE:HAM) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Oil and Gas companies in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2.3x and even P/S higher than 7x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Highwood Asset Management

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:HAM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 28th 2024

How Has Highwood Asset Management Performed Recently?

With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, Highwood Asset Management has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the industry, which has repressed the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Highwood Asset Management.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Highwood Asset Management?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Highwood Asset Management would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 162% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of explosive growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 140% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 10%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Highwood Asset Management's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

To us, it seems Highwood Asset Management currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for Highwood Asset Management (4 don't sit too well with us!) that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Highwood Asset Management might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.