Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Altura Energy Inc. (CVE:ATU) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Altura Energy
What Is Altura Energy's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Altura Energy had debt of CA$3.00m at the end of June 2021, a reduction from CA$4.93m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$436.0k, its net debt is less, at about CA$2.56m.
How Healthy Is Altura Energy's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Altura Energy had liabilities of CA$6.38m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$5.54m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$436.0k as well as receivables valued at CA$1.68m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$9.80m.
This deficit isn't so bad because Altura Energy is worth CA$22.3m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Altura Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Over 12 months, Altura Energy made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CA$12m, which is a fall of 16%. We would much prefer see growth.
Caveat Emptor
While Altura Energy's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$3.2m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CA$210k in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Altura Energy (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TSX:TNZ
Tenaz Energy
An energy company, engages in the acquisition and development of oil and gas assets in Canada and the Netherlands.
High growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.