Stock Analysis

Does Africa Energy (CVE:AFE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TSXV:AFE
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Africa Energy Corp. (CVE:AFE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Africa Energy

How Much Debt Does Africa Energy Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Africa Energy had US$8.26m of debt, up from US$5.00m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$2.05m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$6.21m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:AFE Debt to Equity History September 27th 2024

How Healthy Is Africa Energy's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Africa Energy had liabilities of US$8.70m due within 12 months and no liabilities due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$2.05m in cash and US$26.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$6.62m.

Africa Energy has a market capitalization of US$31.4m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Africa Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, Africa Energy shareholders no doubt hope it can fund itself until it can sell some combustibles.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Africa Energy produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$2.5m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$855k of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Africa Energy (of which 2 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.