Stock Analysis

The Consensus EPS Estimates For Touchstone Exploration Inc. (TSE:TXP) Just Fell Dramatically

TSX:TXP
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Today is shaping up negative for Touchstone Exploration Inc. (TSE:TXP) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a substantial negative revision to this year's forecasts. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with the analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon.

Following the downgrade, the current consensus from Touchstone Exploration's four analysts is for revenues of US$51m in 2022 which - if met - would reflect a sizeable 149% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to increase 4.3% to US$0.028. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$63m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.049 in 2022. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Touchstone Exploration's prospects, administering a substantial drop in revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.

Check out our latest analysis for Touchstone Exploration

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TSX:TXP Earnings and Revenue Growth April 16th 2022

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Touchstone Exploration's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 149% annualised growth to the end of 2022 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 0.5% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 7.6% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Touchstone Exploration to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Touchstone Exploration. While analysts did downgrade their revenue estimates, these forecasts still imply revenues will perform better than the wider market. Given the serious cut to this year's outlook, it's clear that analysts have turned more bearish on Touchstone Exploration, and we wouldn't blame shareholders for feeling a little more cautious themselves.

Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. We have estimates - from multiple Touchstone Exploration analysts - going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Touchstone Exploration is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.