Stock Analysis

Investors Give Source Energy Services Ltd. (TSE:SHLE) Shares A 28% Hiding

TSX:SHLE
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The Source Energy Services Ltd. (TSE:SHLE) share price has softened a substantial 28% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 72%, which is great even in a bull market.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Source Energy Services' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Canada's Energy Services industry is similar at about 0.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Source Energy Services

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:SHLE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 22nd 2024

How Has Source Energy Services Performed Recently?

Source Energy Services certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Source Energy Services will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Source Energy Services' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Source Energy Services' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 19%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 145% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to remain buoyant, climbing by 6.0% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. With the rest of the industry predicted to shrink by 14%, that would be a fantastic result.

With this information, we find it odd that Source Energy Services is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the contrarian forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Source Energy Services' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Source Energy Services' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook against a shaky industry isn't resulting in the company trading at a higher P/S, as per our expectations. We assume that investors are attributing some risk to the company's future revenues, keeping it from trading at a higher P/S. Perhaps there is some hesitation about the company's ability to keep swimming against the current of the broader industry turmoil. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Source Energy Services (of which 3 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Source Energy Services, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Source Energy Services is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.