The board of Surge Energy Inc. (TSE:SGY) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.04 per share on the 15th of July. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 7.0%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
See our latest analysis for Surge Energy
Surge Energy Might Find It Hard To Continue The Dividend
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Surge Energy is not generating a profit, but its free cash flows easily cover the dividend, leaving plenty for reinvestment in the business. We generally think that cash flow is more important than accounting measures of profit, so we are fairly comfortable with the dividend at this level.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall quite dramatically. This will make the company unprofitable, and it is also a concern that the cash flows could fall, putting the dividend under pressure.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CA$3.57 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of CA$0.48. This works out to a decline of approximately 87% over that time. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.
The Company Could Face Some Challenges Growing The Dividend
With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS is growing. Surge Energy has impressed us by growing EPS at 45% per year over the past five years. The company hasn't been turning a profit, but it running in the right direction. If the company can turn a profit relatively soon, we can see this becoming a reliable income stock.
Our Thoughts On Surge Energy's Dividend
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Surge Energy's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Surge Energy (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSX:SGY
Surge Energy
Explores, develops, and produces oil and gas in western Canada.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.