Stock Analysis

Is Pipestone Energy (TSE:PIPE) Using Too Much Debt?

TSX:PIPE
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Pipestone Energy Corp. (TSE:PIPE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the CA Oil and Gas industry.

How Much Debt Does Pipestone Energy Carry?

As you can see below, Pipestone Energy had CA$199.4m of debt at June 2022, down from CA$256.2m a year prior. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:PIPE Debt to Equity History October 17th 2022

How Healthy Is Pipestone Energy's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Pipestone Energy had liabilities of CA$152.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$347.9m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$1.04m and CA$57.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CA$442.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Pipestone Energy is worth CA$1.07b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Pipestone Energy's net debt is only 0.62 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 12.3 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Even more impressive was the fact that Pipestone Energy grew its EBIT by 11,696% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Pipestone Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last two years, Pipestone Energy actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

Pipestone Energy's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Pipestone Energy is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Pipestone Energy has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.