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MEG Energy Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
MEG Energy's earnings are forecast to decline at 2.1% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 8.9% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 3.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.8% in 3 years.
Key information
-2.1%
Earnings growth rate
3.61%
EPS growth rate
| Oil and Gas earnings growth | 10.3% |
| Revenue growth rate | 8.9% |
| Future return on equity | 9.77% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 11 Nov 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Dec 14
MEG: Cenovus Deal Closure And Delisting Will Shape Future Share Outcome
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on MEG Energy to C$30 from C$29, citing the approved Cenovus acquisition and evolving perceptions of deal risk, which are reflected in recent rating changes. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on MEG Energy reflects a split view on the stock following developments around the Cenovus acquisition, with both upside potential and execution risk influencing valuation calls.Narrative Update • Nov 30
MEG: Acquisition Approval and Deal Risks Will Determine Share Performance Ahead
Analysts have increased their price target for MEG Energy to C$30.00, citing recent developments in the proposed Cenovus acquisition and an updated assessment of deal-related risks. Analyst Commentary Recent street research reflects a divided sentiment among analysts regarding MEG Energy following updates on its pending acquisition and shareholder developments.Narrative Update • Nov 16
MEG: Approval of Acquisition Will Shape Profit Outlook Amid Shareholder Delays
MEG Energy's analyst price target has been raised slightly from C$29.90 to C$30.00. Analysts point to improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations following approval of its acquisition by Cenovus Energy.Narrative Update • Nov 01
MEG: Deal Uncertainties And Indigenous Bid Will Shape Upcoming Transaction Outcome
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for MEG Energy from C$29.50 to C$29.90, reflecting adjustments to deal risk and fair value estimates in light of ongoing transaction uncertainties. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity around MEG Energy reflects diverging views on the outlook for the company, driven largely by heightened deal risk and transaction-related uncertainties.Narrative Update • Oct 17
Christina Lake Expansion Will Increase Production Capacity
Analysts have marginally raised their fair value price target for MEG Energy from C$29.11 to C$29.50, citing slight adjustments in discount rates and expectations for steady revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary from the analyst community demonstrates a mix of cautious optimism and ongoing concerns surrounding MEG Energy’s valuation and future performance.Analysis Article • May 07
Sentiment Still Eluding MEG Energy Corp. (TSE:MEG)
MEG Energy Corp.'s ( TSE:MEG ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10x might make it look like a buy right now...Analysis Article • Feb 20
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For MEG Energy's (TSE:MEG) Returns On Capital
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • Feb 05
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of MEG Energy Corp. (TSE:MEG)
Key Insights MEG Energy's estimated fair value is CA$29.66 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With CA$24.18...Analysis Article • Jan 22
Is MEG Energy (TSE:MEG) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jan 08
Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On MEG Energy Corp. (TSE:MEG)
There wouldn't be many who think MEG Energy Corp.'s ( TSE:MEG ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.8x is worth a...
New Narrative • Dec 10
Trans Mountain Expansion And Carbon Capture Drive Growth And Boost Shareholder Value
Improved market access and pricing for Canadian heavy oil reduces earnings volatility and supports revenue growth through TMX startup.Analysis Article • Oct 15
Does MEG Energy (TSE:MEG) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Analysis Article • Oct 03
Is MEG Energy (TSE:MEG) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Sep 19
MEG Energy (TSE:MEG) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • Aug 10
Fewer Investors Than Expected Jumping On MEG Energy Corp. (TSE:MEG)
It's not a stretch to say that MEG Energy Corp.'s ( TSE:MEG ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.4x right now...Analysis Article • Jun 18
MEG Energy's (TSE:MEG) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? One...Analysis Article • Jun 04
Here's Why MEG Energy (TSE:MEG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • May 08
The MEG Energy Corp. (TSE:MEG) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Sales Forecasts
The analysts covering MEG Energy Corp. ( TSE:MEG ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a...Analysis Article • May 05
Are Investors Undervaluing MEG Energy Corp. (TSE:MEG) By 45%?
Key Insights MEG Energy's estimated fair value is CA$55.45 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity MEG Energy's...Analysis Article • Apr 21
MEG Energy Corp. (TSE:MEG) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks
There wouldn't be many who think MEG Energy Corp.'s ( TSE:MEG ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.9x is worth a...Analysis Article • Mar 05
The MEG Energy Corp. (TSE:MEG) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Sales Forecasts
Market forces rained on the parade of MEG Energy Corp. ( TSE:MEG ) shareholders today, when the analysts downgraded...Analysis Article • Mar 02
MEG Energy's (TSE:MEG) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a...Analysis Article • Feb 13
Here's Why MEG Energy (TSE:MEG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Jan 07
MEG Energy Corp. (TSE:MEG) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.9x MEG Energy Corp. ( TSE:MEG ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Analysis Article • Dec 20
MEG Energy Corp. (TSE:MEG) Shares Could Be 49% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights The projected fair value for MEG Energy is CA$47.39 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity MEG Energy's...Analysis Article • Dec 01
MEG Energy (TSE:MEG) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • Sep 28
We Think MEG Energy (TSE:MEG) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Sep 10
MEG Energy Corp.'s (TSE:MEG) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 88% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights MEG Energy's estimated fair value is CA$47.66 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Analysis Article • Aug 23
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At MEG Energy (TSE:MEG)
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to...Analysis Article • Jun 18
Here's Why MEG Energy (TSE:MEG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Analysis Article • Jun 02
Are Investors Undervaluing MEG Energy Corp. (TSE:MEG) By 44%?
Key Insights MEG Energy's estimated fair value is CA$38.10 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity MEG Energy is...Analysis Article • May 13
MEG Energy (TSE:MEG) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 5,357 | 427 | 383 | 1,059 | 2 |
| 12/31/2026 | 4,879 | 381 | 390 | 1,060 | 3 |
| 12/31/2025 | 4,340 | 486 | 475 | 1,129 | 3 |
| 9/30/2025 | 4,247 | 543 | 418 | 1,076 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 4,331 | 551 | 776 | 1,381 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 4,947 | 620 | 733 | 1,319 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 5,149 | 507 | 792 | 1,340 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 5,446 | 504 | 1,085 | 1,565 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 5,619 | 586 | 1,032 | 1,452 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 5,537 | 586 | 981 | 1,429 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 5,653 | 569 | 900 | 1,349 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 5,654 | 625 | 888 | 1,339 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 5,787 | 532 | 995 | 1,441 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 6,067 | 621 | 1,407 | 1,808 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 6,118 | 902 | 1,512 | 1,888 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5,980 | 921 | 1,227 | 1,603 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 5,500 | 819 | 1,044 | 1,426 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 4,938 | 662 | 646 | 995 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 4,321 | 283 | 359 | 690 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 3,801 | 121 | 300 | 565 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 3,243 | 58 | 62 | 278 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,541 | -90 | 50 | 215 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,292 | -357 | 153 | 302 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,498 | -348 | 230 | 411 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,923 | -315 | 427 | 614 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,677 | -298 | 600 | 799 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,931 | -62 | 433 | 631 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3,458 | -286 | 229 | 500 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3,303 | -192 | N/A | 330 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,931 | -308 | N/A | 93 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,733 | -119 | N/A | 280 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 2,968 | 56 | N/A | 387 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 2,741 | 22 | N/A | 392 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,635 | 305 | N/A | 390 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,474 | 166 | N/A | 318 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,281 | -115 | N/A | 199 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 2,202 | -308 | N/A | 171 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 2,131 | -558 | N/A | 172 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1,862 | -429 | N/A | -94 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1,745 | -421 | N/A | -163 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 1,708 | -740 | N/A | -149 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 1,749 | -531 | N/A | -92 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 1,926 | -1,170 | N/A | 112 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,096 | -1,022 | N/A | 310 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 2,343 | -696 | N/A | 537 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 2,617 | -510 | N/A | 712 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 2,830 | -106 | N/A | 768 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: MEG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.1% per year).
Earnings vs Market: MEG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.1% per year).
High Growth Earnings: MEG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: MEG's revenue (8.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (4.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: MEG's revenue (8.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: MEG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.8%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/11/13 04:29 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/11/13 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
MEG Energy Corp. is covered by 24 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Thomas Driscoll | Barclays |
| Peter Ogden | BofA Global Research |
| Philip Skolnick | Canaccord Genuity |