Stock Analysis

Is Keyera Corp.'s (TSE:KEY) High P/E Ratio A Problem For Investors?

TSX:KEY
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This article is written for those who want to get better at using price to earnings ratios (P/E ratios). We'll show how you can use Keyera Corp.'s (TSE:KEY) P/E ratio to inform your assessment of the investment opportunity. Looking at earnings over the last twelve months, Keyera has a P/E ratio of 14.20. That is equivalent to an earnings yield of about 7.0%.

Check out our latest analysis for Keyera

How Do You Calculate A P/E Ratio?

The formula for P/E is:

Price to Earnings Ratio = Share Price ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

Or for Keyera:

P/E of 14.20 = CA$30.55 ÷ CA$2.15 (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2019.)

Is A High Price-to-Earnings Ratio Good?

A higher P/E ratio means that investors are paying a higher price for each CA$1 of company earnings. That is not a good or a bad thing per se, but a high P/E does imply buyers are optimistic about the future.

Does Keyera Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

We can get an indication of market expectations by looking at the P/E ratio. As you can see below, Keyera has a higher P/E than the average company (8.5) in the oil and gas industry.

TSX:KEY Price Estimation Relative to Market, November 4th 2019
TSX:KEY Price Estimation Relative to Market, November 4th 2019

Its relatively high P/E ratio indicates that Keyera shareholders think it will perform better than other companies in its industry classification.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. Earnings growth means that in the future the 'E' will be higher. Therefore, even if you pay a high multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become lower in the future. So while a stock may look expensive based on past earnings, it could be cheap based on future earnings.

Keyera increased earnings per share by a whopping 33% last year. And it has bolstered its earnings per share by 12% per year over the last five years. I'd therefore be a little surprised if its P/E ratio was not relatively high. The market might expect further growth, but it isn't guaranteed. So investors should always consider the P/E ratio alongside other factors, such as whether company directors have been buying shares.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

Don't forget that the P/E ratio considers market capitalization. Thus, the metric does not reflect cash or debt held by the company. Theoretically, a business can improve its earnings (and produce a lower P/E in the future) by investing in growth. That means taking on debt (or spending its cash).

Spending on growth might be good or bad a few years later, but the point is that the P/E ratio does not account for the option (or lack thereof).

Keyera's Balance Sheet

Net debt is 39% of Keyera's market cap. While it's worth keeping this in mind, it isn't a worry.

The Verdict On Keyera's P/E Ratio

Keyera has a P/E of 14.2. That's around the same as the average in the CA market, which is 14.3. When you consider the impressive EPS growth last year (along with some debt), it seems the market has questions about whether rapid EPS growth will be sustained.

When the market is wrong about a stock, it gives savvy investors an opportunity. If it is underestimating a company, investors can make money by buying and holding the shares until the market corrects itself. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with modest (or no) debt, trading on a P/E below 20.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.