Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For Greenlane Renewables Inc. (TSE:GRN) Underpins Stock's 28% Plummet

TSX:GRN
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Greenlane Renewables Inc. (TSE:GRN) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 28% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 68% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Greenlane Renewables may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Oil and Gas industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Greenlane Renewables

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:GRN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 24th 2024

How Greenlane Renewables Has Been Performing

Greenlane Renewables could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Greenlane Renewables will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Greenlane Renewables' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.1%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 55% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 31% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.2%.

With this information, we are not surprised that Greenlane Renewables is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What We Can Learn From Greenlane Renewables' P/S?

Greenlane Renewables' recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Oil and Gas companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Greenlane Renewables' P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Greenlane Renewables (at least 1 which is a bit concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Greenlane Renewables, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.