Gibson Energy Inc.

TSX:GEI Stock Report

Mkt Cap: CA$3.1b

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Gibson Energy Valuation

Is GEI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GEI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GEI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.5x
PEG Ratio-1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GEI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GEI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.4x
KEY Keyera
19.7x7.2%CA$7.0b
PPL Pembina Pipeline
8.3x3.0%CA$22.9b
TRP TC Energy
33.9x13.8%CA$54.6b
PXT Parex Resources
3.8x2.5%CA$2.9b
GEI Gibson Energy
12x-8.2%CA$3.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GEI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the peer average (16.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GEI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.6%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.6%
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No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GEI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the Canadian Oil and Gas industry average (4.3x)

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GEI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GEI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12x
Fair PE Ratio7.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GEI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x).

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GEI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GEI (CA$21.91) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$36.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GEI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GEI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$21.67
CA$25.11
+15.9%
5.3%CA$28.00CA$22.00n/a14
May ’24CA$23.01
CA$25.07
+8.9%
4.7%CA$28.00CA$23.00n/a15
Apr ’24CA$21.60
CA$25.27
+17.0%
4.8%CA$28.00CA$23.00n/a15
Mar ’24CA$23.27
CA$25.47
+9.4%
4.9%CA$28.00CA$23.00n/a15
Feb ’24CA$23.80
CA$25.50
+7.1%
5.3%CA$28.00CA$23.00n/a15
Jan ’24CA$23.64
CA$25.39
+7.4%
5.7%CA$28.00CA$23.00n/a14
Dec ’23CA$24.11
CA$25.32
+5.0%
6.7%CA$28.00CA$22.50n/a14
Nov ’23CA$23.00
CA$25.39
+10.4%
6.3%CA$28.00CA$22.50n/a14
Oct ’23CA$21.97
CA$26.25
+19.5%
5.2%CA$29.00CA$24.00n/a14
Sep ’23CA$24.25
CA$26.32
+8.5%
5.4%CA$30.00CA$24.00n/a14
Aug ’23CA$26.32
CA$26.23
-0.3%
4.0%CA$28.00CA$25.00n/a13
Jul ’23CA$23.84
CA$26.25
+10.1%
3.8%CA$28.00CA$25.00n/a12
Jun ’23CA$27.22
CA$26.42
-3.0%
3.6%CA$28.00CA$25.00CA$21.6712
May ’23CA$24.46
CA$25.86
+5.7%
5.4%CA$28.00CA$23.00CA$23.0114
Apr ’23CA$25.18
CA$25.43
+1.0%
7.5%CA$28.00CA$20.00CA$21.6014
Mar ’23CA$24.59
CA$25.20
+2.5%
7.0%CA$27.00CA$20.00CA$23.2715
Feb ’23CA$24.74
CA$25.09
+1.4%
6.8%CA$27.50CA$20.00CA$23.8016
Jan ’23CA$22.42
CA$25.03
+11.6%
6.9%CA$27.50CA$20.00CA$23.6416
Dec ’22CA$22.37
CA$25.09
+12.2%
6.2%CA$27.50CA$21.00CA$24.1116
Nov ’22CA$25.36
CA$25.20
-0.6%
5.1%CA$27.00CA$22.00CA$23.0015
Oct ’22CA$23.27
CA$25.40
+9.2%
5.9%CA$28.00CA$22.00CA$21.9715
Sep ’22CA$22.79
CA$25.33
+11.2%
6.1%CA$28.00CA$22.00CA$24.2515
Aug ’22CA$22.86
CA$25.37
+11.0%
6.0%CA$28.00CA$23.00CA$26.3215
Jul ’22CA$23.75
CA$25.23
+6.2%
6.6%CA$28.00CA$23.00CA$23.8415
Jun ’22CA$24.20
CA$24.72
+2.1%
7.0%CA$28.00CA$22.00CA$27.2216

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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