Stock Analysis

Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Frontera Energy Corporation's (TSE:FEC) Earnings

TSX:FEC
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Frontera Energy Corporation's (TSE:FEC) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 15x and even P/E's above 31x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Frontera Energy over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Frontera Energy

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:FEC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 1st 2025
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Frontera Energy's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Frontera Energy?

Frontera Energy's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 67% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 147% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Frontera Energy's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Frontera Energy currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Frontera Energy that you need to take into consideration.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.