Stock Analysis

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Enerflex Ltd.'s (TSE:EFX) Revenues Despite 26% Price Jump

TSX:EFX
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Enerflex Ltd. (TSE:EFX) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 4.1% isn't as impressive.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Enerflex's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Canada's Energy Services industry is similar at about 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Enerflex

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:EFX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 15th 2024

What Does Enerflex's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Enerflex as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

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Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Enerflex?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Enerflex's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 78%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 160% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 2.1% each year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. This is still shaping up to be materially better than the broader industry which is also set to decline 6.5% per year.

With this information, it's perhaps curious but not a major surprise that Enerflex is trading at a fairly similar P/S in comparison. With revenue going in reverse, it's not guaranteed that the P/S has found a floor yet. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is already weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Enerflex's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

It looks to us like Enerflex currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its revenue forecast is not as bad as the struggling industry. There's a chance that the market isn't looking too favourably on the potential risks which are preventing the P/S ratio from matching the more attractive outlook compared to its peers. Perhaps there is some hesitation about the company's ability to keep resisting the broader industry turmoil. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Enerflex that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Enerflex is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.