Energy Fuels Inc.

TSX:EFR Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$1.6b

Energy Fuels Valuation

Is EFR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EFR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
CA$47.53
Fair Value
83.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: EFR (CA$7.67) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$47.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EFR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EFR?

Key metric: As EFR is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for EFR. This is calculated by dividing EFR's market cap by their current revenue.
What is EFR's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio26.8x
SalesUS$38.66m
Market CapUS$1.09b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does EFR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for EFR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.5x
URE Ur-Energy
24.1x35.9%CA$586.2m
URC Uranium Royalty
12x22.2%CA$482.3m
EU enCore Energy
13.6x36.2%CA$926.7m
SGQ SouthGobi Resources
0.3xn/aCA$204.7m
EFR Energy Fuels
26.8x45.3%CA$1.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: EFR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (26.8x) compared to the peer average (12.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does EFR's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?

20 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PKI Parkland
0.2x1.4%US$3.97b
GEI Gibson Energy
0.3x-3.1%US$2.81b
SES SECURE Waste Infrastructure
0.3x-65.8%US$2.40b
FEC Frontera Energy
0.4xn/aUS$464.08m
EFR 26.8xIndustry Avg. 1.9xNo. of Companies23PS0246810+
20 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: EFR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (26.8x) compared to the Canadian Oil and Gas industry average (2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EFR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EFR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio26.8x
Fair PS Ratio1.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: EFR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (26.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EFR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$7.67
CA$14.63
+90.7%
19.8%CA$18.00CA$11.50n/a4
Jan ’26CA$7.39
CA$14.50
+96.2%
16.9%CA$18.00CA$11.50n/a5
Dec ’25CA$10.19
CA$14.50
+42.3%
16.9%CA$18.00CA$11.50n/a5
Nov ’25CA$7.78
CA$14.60
+87.7%
17.2%CA$18.00CA$11.50n/a5
Oct ’25CA$7.58
CA$14.38
+89.6%
18.5%CA$17.50CA$11.50n/a4
Sep ’25CA$6.55
CA$14.38
+119.5%
18.5%CA$17.50CA$11.50n/a4
Aug ’25CA$7.20
CA$14.90
+106.9%
13.4%CA$17.50CA$12.25n/a5
Jul ’25CA$8.29
CA$14.90
+79.7%
13.4%CA$17.50CA$12.25n/a5
Jun ’25CA$9.46
CA$14.90
+57.5%
13.4%CA$17.50CA$12.25n/a5
May ’25CA$7.47
CA$14.90
+99.5%
13.4%CA$17.50CA$12.25n/a5
Apr ’25CA$8.87
CA$14.95
+68.5%
10.1%CA$17.50CA$13.00n/a5
Mar ’25CA$8.87
CA$14.95
+68.5%
10.1%CA$17.50CA$13.00n/a5
Feb ’25CA$10.66
CA$13.90
+30.4%
13.1%CA$17.50CA$12.50CA$7.675
Jan ’25CA$9.50
CA$13.70
+44.2%
10.5%CA$16.50CA$12.50CA$7.395
Dec ’24CA$10.42
CA$13.60
+30.5%
11.0%CA$16.50CA$12.50CA$10.195
Nov ’24CA$11.09
CA$13.60
+22.6%
11.0%CA$16.50CA$12.50CA$7.785
Oct ’24CA$11.16
CA$13.45
+20.5%
12.1%CA$16.50CA$11.75CA$7.585
Sep ’24CA$9.85
CA$13.35
+35.5%
12.7%CA$16.50CA$11.75CA$6.555
Aug ’24CA$8.39
CA$14.40
+71.6%
12.5%CA$16.50CA$12.00CA$7.205
Jul ’24CA$8.23
CA$14.50
+76.2%
11.5%CA$16.50CA$12.50CA$8.295
Jun ’24CA$8.54
CA$14.50
+69.8%
11.5%CA$16.50CA$12.50CA$9.465
May ’24CA$7.51
CA$14.60
+94.4%
10.7%CA$16.50CA$13.00CA$7.475
Apr ’24CA$7.54
CA$14.70
+95.0%
10.0%CA$16.50CA$13.50CA$8.875
Mar ’24CA$9.28
CA$15.12
+62.9%
9.0%CA$16.50CA$13.50CA$8.875
Feb ’24CA$10.03
CA$14.53
+44.9%
15.0%CA$16.50CA$11.50CA$10.663
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
CA$14.63
Fair Value
47.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/31 04:46
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Energy Fuels Inc. is covered by 12 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Matthew KeyB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Yuan ZhiB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Katie LachapelleCanaccord Genuity