Uranium Royalty Corp.

TSX:URC Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$795.1m

Uranium Royalty Valuation

Is URC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of URC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

CA$2.58
Fair Value
130.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate URC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate URC's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for URC?

Key metric: As URC is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for URC. This is calculated by dividing URC's market cap by their current revenue.
What is URC's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio16.3x
SalesCA$48.81m
Market CapCA$795.15m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does URC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for URC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.1x
EU enCore Energy
13.6x31.54%CA$845.7m
URE Ur-Energy
16x33.37%CA$882.9m
EFR Energy Fuels
58.6x49.22%CA$5.3b
SGQ SouthGobi Resources
0.2xn/aCA$136.5m
URC Uranium Royalty
16.3x-78.84%CA$795.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: URC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16.3x) compared to the peer average (22.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does URC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PKI Parkland
0.2x3.36%US$4.80b
GEI Gibson Energy
0.4x-3.30%US$3.06b
FEC Frontera Energy
0.2xn/aUS$266.00m
SGQ SouthGobi Resources
0.2xn/aUS$97.82m
URC 16.3xIndustry Avg. 2.5xNo. of Companies18PS01.63.24.86.48+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: URC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16.3x) compared to the Canadian Oil and Gas industry average (2.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is URC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

URC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio16.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.09x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: URC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst URC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$5.95
CA$5.47
-8.12%
12.07%CA$6.40CA$5.00n/a3
Sep ’26CA$4.32
CA$4.67
+8.02%
13.36%CA$5.50CA$4.00n/a3
Aug ’26CA$3.47
CA$4.67
+34.49%
13.36%CA$5.50CA$4.00n/a3
Jul ’26CA$3.41
CA$4.67
+36.85%
13.36%CA$5.50CA$4.00n/a3
Jun ’26CA$3.04
CA$4.67
+53.51%
13.36%CA$5.50CA$4.00n/a3
May ’26CA$2.50
CA$4.67
+86.67%
13.36%CA$5.50CA$4.00n/a3
Apr ’26CA$2.60
CA$4.67
+79.49%
13.36%CA$5.50CA$4.00n/a3
Mar ’26CA$2.91
CA$4.75
+63.23%
11.37%CA$5.50CA$4.25n/a3
Jan ’26CA$3.15
CA$7.25
+130.16%
10.34%CA$8.00CA$6.50n/a2
Dec ’25CA$3.43
CA$7.25
+111.37%
10.34%CA$8.00CA$6.50n/a2
Nov ’25CA$3.79
CA$7.25
+91.29%
10.34%CA$8.00CA$6.50n/a2
Oct ’25CA$3.39
CA$7.25
+113.86%
10.34%CA$8.00CA$6.50CA$5.942
Sep ’25CA$2.93
CA$7.38
+151.71%
8.47%CA$8.00CA$6.75CA$4.322
Aug ’25CA$3.04
CA$7.38
+142.60%
8.47%CA$8.00CA$6.75CA$3.472
Jun ’25CA$3.63
CA$7.38
+103.17%
8.47%CA$8.00CA$6.75CA$3.042
May ’25CA$3.20
CA$7.38
+130.47%
8.47%CA$8.00CA$6.75CA$2.502
Apr ’25CA$3.47
CA$7.38
+112.54%
8.47%CA$8.00CA$6.75CA$2.602
Mar ’25CA$3.55
CA$7.38
+107.75%
8.47%CA$8.00CA$6.75CA$2.912
Feb ’25CA$4.76
CA$6.75
+41.81%
13.18%CA$8.00CA$6.00CA$3.433
Jan ’25CA$3.56
CA$6.75
+89.61%
13.18%CA$8.00CA$6.00CA$3.153
Dec ’24CA$3.87
CA$6.75
+74.42%
13.18%CA$8.00CA$6.00CA$3.433
Nov ’24CA$3.83
CA$6.75
+76.24%
13.18%CA$8.00CA$6.00CA$3.793
Oct ’24CA$3.83
CA$6.25
+63.19%
3.27%CA$6.50CA$6.00CA$3.393
CA$5.47
Fair Value
8.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/06 02:45
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/03 00:00
Earnings2025/07/31
Annual Earnings2025/04/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Uranium Royalty Corp. is covered by 8 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Matthew KeyB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Nicholas GilesB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Katie LachapelleCanaccord Genuity