Easy Come, Easy Go: How Condor Petroleum Shareholders Got Unlucky And Saw 94% Of Their Cash Evaporate

Long term investing works well, but it doesn’t always work for each individual stock. We don’t wish catastrophic capital loss on anyone. Imagine if you held Condor Petroleum Inc. (TSE:CPI) for half a decade as the share price tanked 94%. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 68%. The last week also saw the share price slip down another 7.1%.

We really feel for shareholders in this scenario. It’s a good reminder of the importance of diversification, and it’s worth keeping in mind there’s more to life than money, anyway.

View our latest analysis for Condor Petroleum

Given that Condor Petroleum didn’t make a profit in the last twelve months, we’ll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That’s because it’s hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

Over five years, Condor Petroleum grew its revenue at 30% per year. That’s better than most loss-making companies. So it’s not at all clear to us why the share price sunk 44% throughout that time. You’d have to assume the market is worried that profits won’t come soon enough. We’d recommend carefully checking for indications of future growth – and balance sheet threats – before considering a purchase.

Depicted in the graphic below, you’ll see revenue and earnings over time. If you want more detail, you can click on the chart itself.

TSX:CPI Income Statement, March 6th 2019
TSX:CPI Income Statement, March 6th 2019

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Condor Petroleum’s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Condor Petroleum had a tough year, with a total loss of 68%, against a market gain of about 4.2%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year’s performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 44% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.

Condor Petroleum is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.