Stock Analysis

Cardinal Energy (TSE:CJ) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.06

TSX:CJ
Source: Shutterstock

The board of Cardinal Energy Ltd. (TSE:CJ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 15th of May, with investors receiving CA$0.06 per share. This makes the dividend yield 10.0%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.

View our latest analysis for Cardinal Energy

Cardinal Energy's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Before making this announcement, the company's dividend was much higher than its earnings. Without profits and cash flows increasing, it would be difficult for the company to continue paying the dividend at this level.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 11.4%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, our estimates say the payout ratio could reach 91% - on the higher side, but we wouldn't necessarily say this is unsustainable.

historic-dividend
TSX:CJ Historic Dividend April 25th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CA$0.65 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of CA$0.72. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.0% a year over that time. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.

Cardinal Energy May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Earnings per share has been crawling upwards at 4.4% per year. The company is paying out a lot of its profits, even though it is growing those profits pretty slowly. This gives limited room for the company to raise the dividend in the future.

Cardinal Energy's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The payments are bit high to be considered sustainable, and the track record isn't the best. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Cardinal Energy (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Cardinal Energy not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cardinal Energy is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.