Stock Analysis

Condor Energies Inc.'s (TSE:CDR) Stock Retreats 25% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

TSX:CDR
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Condor Energies Inc. (TSE:CDR) shares have retraced a considerable 25% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 53%, which is great even in a bull market.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given close to half the companies operating in Canada's Oil and Gas industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2x, you may still consider Condor Energies as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Condor Energies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:CDR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 7th 2024

What Does Condor Energies' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Condor Energies has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Condor Energies' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Condor Energies' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. The amazing performance means it was also able to deliver huge revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 117% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 1.0% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Condor Energies is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Condor Energies' P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Condor Energies' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Condor Energies, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Condor Energies, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.