Stock Analysis

Bengal Energy's (TSE:BNG) Robust Profit May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

TSX:BNG
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Bengal Energy Ltd.'s (TSE:BNG) solid earnings report last week was underwhelming to investors. We think that they may be worried about something else, so we did some analysis and found that investors have noticed some soft numbers underlying the profit.

See our latest analysis for Bengal Energy

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSX:BNG Earnings and Revenue History June 28th 2021

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, Bengal Energy increased the number of shares on issue by 323% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. You can see a chart of Bengal Energy's EPS by clicking here.

How Is Dilution Impacting Bengal Energy's Earnings Per Share? (EPS)

Three years ago, Bengal Energy lost money. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we don't have a meaningful growth rate because it made a loss a year ago, too. What we do know is that while it's great to see a profit over the last twelve months, that profit would have been better, on a per share basis, if the company hadn't needed to issue shares. Therefore, one can observe that the dilution is having a fairly profound effect on shareholder returns.

In the long term, if Bengal Energy's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Bengal Energy.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that Bengal Energy's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CA$3.5m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Bengal Energy had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to March 2021. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Bengal Energy's Profit Performance

In its last report Bengal Energy benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. For all the reasons mentioned above, we think that, at a glance, Bengal Energy's statutory profits could be considered to be low quality, because they are likely to give investors an overly positive impression of the company. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Bengal Energy at this point in time. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Bengal Energy (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

Our examination of Bengal Energy has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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