Bonterra Energy Valuation

Is BNE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BNE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BNE (CA$3.43) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$0.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BNE is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BNE?

Key metric: As BNE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BNE. This is calculated by dividing BNE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BNE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.7x
EarningsCA$27.39m
Market CapCA$127.28m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BNE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BNE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.1x
CNE Canacol Energy
4.3x59.7%CA$116.3m
GXE Gear Energy
11xn/aCA$137.1m
LCX Lycos Energy
10.6xn/aCA$145.3m
ORC.B Orca Energy Group
10.4xn/aCA$158.1m
BNE Bonterra Energy
4.7x-82.7%CA$127.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BNE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the peer average (9.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BNE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HAM Highwood Asset Management
1.3x-43.9%US$65.03m
ALPS.U Alpine Summit Energy Partners
1xn/aUS$24.02m
KUB.H Carcetti Capital
0.7xn/aUS$5.82m
GCOM Green Shift Commodities
1.4xn/aUS$4.93m
BNE 4.7xIndustry Avg. 11.0xNo. of Companies11PE0816243240+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BNE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the Canadian Oil and Gas industry average (10.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BNE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BNE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.7x
Fair PE Ratio2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BNE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BNE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$3.43
CA$6.56
+91.3%
18.7%CA$8.00CA$5.00n/a4
Nov ’25CA$3.34
CA$7.25
+117.1%
18.5%CA$8.75CA$5.50n/a3
Oct ’25CA$3.82
CA$7.92
+107.2%
23.4%CA$10.00CA$5.50n/a3
Sep ’25CA$4.38
CA$8.25
+88.4%
17.3%CA$10.00CA$6.50n/a3
Aug ’25CA$4.69
CA$8.58
+83.0%
12.2%CA$10.00CA$7.50n/a3
Jul ’25CA$5.15
CA$8.75
+69.9%
10.2%CA$10.00CA$8.00n/a3
Jun ’25CA$5.29
CA$8.56
+61.9%
10.6%CA$10.00CA$7.50n/a4
May ’25CA$5.65
CA$8.44
+49.3%
4.4%CA$9.00CA$8.00n/a4
Apr ’25CA$6.38
CA$8.25
+29.3%
6.4%CA$9.00CA$7.50n/a4
Mar ’25CA$5.20
CA$8.25
+58.7%
23.7%CA$11.50CA$6.50n/a4
Feb ’25CA$4.76
CA$8.50
+78.6%
19.3%CA$11.50CA$7.00n/a5
Jan ’25CA$5.23
CA$9.20
+75.9%
15.2%CA$11.50CA$7.50n/a5
Dec ’24CA$5.91
CA$10.15
+71.7%
7.9%CA$11.50CA$9.00n/a5
Nov ’24CA$7.05
CA$10.15
+44.0%
7.9%CA$11.50CA$9.00CA$3.345
Oct ’24CA$7.47
CA$9.80
+31.2%
4.1%CA$10.00CA$9.00CA$3.825
Sep ’24CA$7.64
CA$9.58
+25.4%
4.7%CA$10.00CA$9.00CA$4.386
Aug ’24CA$6.95
CA$9.33
+34.3%
8.6%CA$10.00CA$8.00CA$4.696
Jul ’24CA$5.59
CA$9.50
+69.9%
14.6%CA$10.50CA$6.50CA$5.156
Jun ’24CA$5.30
CA$9.67
+82.4%
10.6%CA$10.50CA$7.50CA$5.296
May ’24CA$6.69
CA$10.00
+49.5%
6.5%CA$11.00CA$9.00CA$5.656
Apr ’24CA$6.60
CA$10.04
+52.1%
14.0%CA$11.75CA$7.50CA$6.386
Mar ’24CA$6.70
CA$10.00
+49.3%
14.2%CA$11.75CA$7.50CA$5.206
Feb ’24CA$6.44
CA$10.17
+57.9%
13.6%CA$11.75CA$8.25CA$4.766
Jan ’24CA$6.76
CA$11.38
+68.3%
10.7%CA$13.00CA$9.75CA$5.236
Dec ’23CA$7.60
CA$11.92
+56.8%
10.9%CA$14.00CA$10.00CA$5.916
Nov ’23CA$9.03
CA$12.88
+42.6%
12.6%CA$16.00CA$11.50CA$7.056

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies