Orca Energy Group Inc.

TSXV:ORC.B Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$162.6m

Orca Energy Group Valuation

Is ORC.B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ORC.B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ORC.B (CA$3.21) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$4.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ORC.B is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORC.B?

Key metric: As ORC.B is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ORC.B. This is calculated by dividing ORC.B's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ORC.B's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.8x
EarningsUS$3.81m
Market CapUS$114.92m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ORC.B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ORC.B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.1x
IPO InPlay Oil
8.2x-7.4%CA$155.9m
PRQ Petrus Resources
4.2xn/aCA$177.9m
GXE Gear Energy
11.7xn/aCA$145.0m
ALV Alvopetro Energy
8.5x81.7%CA$165.9m
ORC.B Orca Energy Group
11.8xn/aCA$162.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ORC.B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x) compared to the peer average (8.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ORC.B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HAM Highwood Asset Management
1.2x-41.1%US$60.60m
ALPS.U Alpine Summit Energy Partners
1xn/aUS$24.02m
KUB.H Carcetti Capital
0.7xn/aUS$5.82m
GCOM Green Shift Commodities
1.4xn/aUS$4.38m
ORC.B 11.8xIndustry Avg. 10.6xNo. of Companies13PE0816243240+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ORC.B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x) compared to the Canadian Oil and Gas industry average (10.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORC.B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORC.B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ORC.B's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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