Yangarra Resources Ltd.

TSX:YGR Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$93.8m

Yangarra Resources Valuation

Is YGR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YGR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YGR (CA$0.98) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$0.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YGR is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YGR?

Key metric: As YGR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for YGR. This is calculated by dividing YGR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is YGR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio2.8x
EarningsCA$34.78m
Market CapCA$93.80m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YGR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YGR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.7x
CNE Canacol Energy
4.3x59.7%CA$116.3m
BNE Bonterra Energy
4.7x-82.7%CA$127.3m
GXE Gear Energy
11xn/aCA$137.1m
LCX Lycos Energy
10.6xn/aCA$145.3m
YGR Yangarra Resources
2.8xn/aCA$93.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YGR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.8x) compared to the peer average (7.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YGR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HAM Highwood Asset Management
1.3x-43.9%US$65.03m
ALPS.U Alpine Summit Energy Partners
1xn/aUS$24.02m
KUB.H Carcetti Capital
0.7xn/aUS$5.82m
GCOM Green Shift Commodities
1.4xn/aUS$4.93m
YGR 2.8xIndustry Avg. 11.0xNo. of Companies11PE0816243240+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YGR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.8x) compared to the Canadian Oil and Gas industry average (10.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YGR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YGR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio2.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate YGR's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YGR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$1.02
CA$1.38
+34.8%
9.1%CA$1.50CA$1.25n/a4
Nov ’25CA$1.03
CA$1.38
+33.5%
9.1%CA$1.50CA$1.25n/a4
Oct ’25CA$1.05
CA$1.53
+45.2%
20.3%CA$2.00CA$1.25n/a4
Sep ’25CA$1.12
CA$1.65
+47.3%
12.5%CA$2.00CA$1.50n/a4
Aug ’25CA$1.04
CA$1.65
+58.7%
12.5%CA$2.00CA$1.50n/a4
Jul ’25CA$1.06
CA$1.71
+61.6%
11.0%CA$2.00CA$1.50n/a4
Jun ’25CA$1.12
CA$1.71
+52.9%
11.0%CA$2.00CA$1.50n/a4
May ’25CA$1.16
CA$1.71
+47.6%
11.0%CA$2.00CA$1.50n/a4
Apr ’25CA$1.18
CA$1.65
+39.8%
12.5%CA$2.00CA$1.50n/a4
Mar ’25CA$1.22
CA$2.13
+74.2%
17.6%CA$2.75CA$1.75n/a4
Feb ’25CA$1.11
CA$2.10
+89.2%
16.1%CA$2.75CA$1.75n/a5
Jan ’25CA$1.28
CA$2.85
+122.7%
23.3%CA$4.00CA$2.00n/a5
Dec ’24CA$1.38
CA$2.85
+106.5%
23.3%CA$4.00CA$2.00n/a5
Nov ’24CA$1.72
CA$2.90
+68.6%
22.2%CA$4.00CA$2.00CA$1.035
Oct ’24CA$1.81
CA$3.00
+65.7%
19.0%CA$4.00CA$2.25CA$1.055
Sep ’24CA$1.96
CA$2.88
+46.7%
19.3%CA$4.00CA$2.25CA$1.126
Aug ’24CA$1.90
CA$2.83
+49.1%
21.4%CA$4.00CA$2.00CA$1.046
Jul ’24CA$1.65
CA$3.01
+82.3%
21.0%CA$4.00CA$2.00CA$1.066
Jun ’24CA$1.62
CA$3.01
+85.7%
21.0%CA$4.00CA$2.00CA$1.126
May ’24CA$1.80
CA$3.05
+69.4%
18.7%CA$4.00CA$2.25CA$1.166
Apr ’24CA$1.83
CA$3.30
+80.3%
18.8%CA$4.00CA$2.50CA$1.186
Mar ’24CA$2.27
CA$3.61
+59.2%
17.3%CA$4.50CA$2.50CA$1.227
Feb ’24CA$2.40
CA$3.83
+59.5%
9.0%CA$4.50CA$3.50CA$1.117
Jan ’24CA$2.81
CA$4.15
+47.7%
15.6%CA$5.25CA$3.50CA$1.287
Dec ’23CA$2.76
CA$4.18
+51.4%
15.2%CA$5.25CA$3.50CA$1.387
Nov ’23CA$3.01
CA$4.18
+38.8%
15.2%CA$5.25CA$3.50CA$1.727

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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