Stock Analysis

ARC Resources (TSE:ARX) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At CA$0.17

TSX:ARX
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ARC Resources Ltd. (TSE:ARX) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 17th of July to CA$0.17. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 3.5% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for ARC Resources

ARC Resources' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. However, prior to this announcement, ARC Resources' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of what the business earns is being used to help it grow.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 26.2% over the next year. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 8.5% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
TSX:ARX Historic Dividend May 12th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CA$1.20 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of CA$0.60. This works out to be a decline of approximately 6.7% per year over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. We are encouraged to see that ARC Resources has grown earnings per share at 41% per year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low which we think is an ideal combination in a dividend stock as the company can quite easily raise the dividend in the future.

We Really Like ARC Resources' Dividend

In summary, it is always positive to see the dividend being increased, and we are particularly pleased with its overall sustainability. Distributions are quite easily covered by earnings, which are also being converted to cash flows. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. To that end, ARC Resources has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about. Is ARC Resources not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.