Timbercreek Financial Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Timbercreek Financial is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 1.5% and 10.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 1.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.5% in 3 years.

Key information

1.5%

Earnings growth rate

1.3%

EPS growth rate

Diversified Financial earnings growth	50.7%
Revenue growth rate	10.4%
Future return on equity	8.5%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	01 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:TF - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	114	61	N/A	N/A	2
12/31/2025	111	58	N/A	N/A	3
12/31/2024	104	58	N/A	N/A	3
9/30/2024	86	59	75	75	N/A
6/30/2024	87	61	78	78	N/A
3/31/2024	86	63	80	80	N/A
12/31/2023	88	66	90	90	N/A
9/30/2023	84	66	95	95	N/A
6/30/2023	81	63	97	97	N/A
3/31/2023	79	61	91	91	N/A
12/31/2022	73	56	83	83	N/A
9/30/2022	65	43	73	73	N/A
6/30/2022	62	40	75	75	N/A
3/31/2022	60	39	79	79	N/A
12/31/2021	62	41	82	82	N/A
9/30/2021	53	37	81	81	N/A
6/30/2021	57	41	80	80	N/A
3/31/2021	56	40	78	78	N/A
12/31/2020	48	32	79	79	N/A
9/30/2020	64	48	91	91	N/A
6/30/2020	63	47	92	92	N/A
3/31/2020	65	49	102	102	N/A
12/31/2019	70	55	103	103	N/A
9/30/2019	70	56	91	91	N/A
6/30/2019	70	56	89	89	N/A
3/31/2019	69	55	78	78	N/A
12/31/2018	67	53	78	78	N/A
9/30/2018	66	51	76	76	N/A
6/30/2018	65	50	N/A	79	N/A
3/31/2018	65	51	N/A	79	N/A
12/31/2017	66	52	N/A	70	N/A
9/30/2017	66	52	N/A	64	N/A
6/30/2017	64	52	N/A	57	N/A
3/31/2017	57	52	N/A	47	N/A
12/31/2016	51	46	N/A	41	N/A
9/30/2016	45	40	N/A	38	N/A
6/30/2016	37	34	N/A	31	N/A
3/31/2016	38	28	N/A	31	N/A
12/31/2015	38	28	N/A	31	N/A
9/30/2015	37	27	N/A	30	N/A
6/30/2015	37	27	N/A	30	N/A
3/31/2015	35	26	N/A	28	N/A
12/31/2014	34	25	N/A	26	N/A
9/30/2014	33	47	N/A	22	N/A
6/30/2014	28	38	N/A	22	N/A
3/31/2014	20	31	N/A	22	N/A
12/31/2013	15	25	N/A	24	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TF's forecast earnings growth (1.5% per year) is below the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: TF's earnings (1.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (15.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TF's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: TF's revenue (10.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (7.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TF's revenue (10.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TF's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 01:50
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Timbercreek Financial Corp. is covered by 10 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Stephan Boire	Echelon Wealth Partners Inc.
Yashwant Sankpal	Eight Capital
Siddharth Rajeev	Fundamental Research Corp.

Timbercreek Financial Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 12% to CA$8.56

Price target decreased by 8.8% to CA$7.75

Price target decreased by 9.3% to CA$7.81

Recent updates

Timbercreek Financial Corp. Declares December 2024 Dividend, Payable on January 15, 2025

Insufficient new directors

Dividend of CA$0.058 announced

Timbercreek Financial Declares November 2024 Dividend, Payable on December 13, 2024

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Dividend of CA$0.058 announced

Timbercreek Financial Declares October 2024 Dividend, Payable on November 15, 2024

Timbercreek Financial Corp. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 30, 2024

Non-Independent Chair & CEO recently sold CA$175k worth of stock

Non-Independent Chair & CEO recently sold CA$74k worth of stock

Dividend of CA$0.058 announced

Dividend of CA$0.058 announced

Timbercreek Financial Declares Dividend for the Month of August 2024, Payable on September 13, 2024

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Dividend of CA$0.058 announced

Timbercreek Financial Declares a Monthly Cash Dividend, Payable on August 15, 2024

Timbercreek Financial Corp. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 31, 2024

Timbercreek Financial (TSE:TF) Has Announced A Dividend Of CA$0.0575

Dividend of CA$0.058 announced

Timbercreek Financial Corp. Declares June 2024 Cash Dividend Payable on July 15, 2024

Timbercreek Financial (TSE:TF) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.0575

Dividend of CA$0.058 announced

Timbercreek Financial Declares May 2024 Dividend, Payable on June 14, 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Timbercreek Financial Corp. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 06, 2024

Timbercreek Financial (TSE:TF) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of CA$0.0575

Dividend of CA$0.058 announced

Timbercreek Financial Declares Monthly Cash Dividend for April 2024, Payable on May 15, 2024

Timbercreek Financial (TSE:TF) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.0575

Dividend of CA$0.058 announced

Timbercreek Financial Declares Monthly Cash Dividend for March 2024, Payable on April 15, 2024

Timbercreek Financial Corp. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of CAD 90 million.

Dividend of CA$0.058 announced

Price target increased by 12% to CA$8.56

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Dividend of CA$0.058 announced

Timbercreek Financial Corp. Declares Cash Dividend for the February 2024, Payable on March 15, 2024

Timbercreek Financial Corp. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 27, 2024

Timbercreek Financial (TSE:TF) Has Announced A Dividend Of CA$0.0575

Dividend of CA$0.058 announced

Independent Director recently bought CA$53k worth of stock

Timbercreek Financial Corp. Declares December 2023 Dividend, Payable on January 15, 2024

Timbercreek Financial Declares November 2023 Dividend, Payable on December 15, 2023

Price target decreased by 8.8% to CA$7.75

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Timbercreek Financial Corp. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 02, 2023

Timbercreek Financial Corp. Declares Cash Dividend for September 2023, Payable on October 13, 2023

Timbercreek Financial (TSE:TF) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of CA$0.0575

Timbercreek Financial Declares Cash Dividend for August 2023, Payable on September 15, 2023

Second quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Timbercreek Financial (TSE:TF) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of CA$0.0575

Timbercreek Financial Corp. Declares Cash Dividend for the Month of July 2023, Payable on August 15, 2023

Timbercreek Financial (TSE:TF) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of CA$0.0575

Timbercreek Financial Declares June 2023 Dividend, Payable on July 14, 2023

Timbercreek Financial Declares May 2023 Dividend, Payable on June 15, 2023

Price target decreased by 9.3% to CA$7.81

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Timbercreek Financial (TSE:TF) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.0575

Timbercreek Financial (TSE:TF) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of CA$0.0575

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Timbercreek Financial Corp. Declares Dividend for the Month of February 2023, Payable on March 15, 2023

Timbercreek Financial Corp. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 23, 2023

Timbercreek Financial Declares January 2023 Dividend, Payable on February 15, 2023

Timbercreek Financial Corp. Declares December 2022 Dividend, Payable on January 13, 2023

Timbercreek Financial Declares Monthly Cash Dividend, Payable on December 15, 2022

Third quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Third quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Timbercreek Financial Corp. to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Nov 10, 2022

Timbercreek Financial's (TSE:TF) Dividend Will Be CA$0.0575

Timbercreek Financial Declares a Monthly Cash Dividend of the Company, Payable on November 15, 2022

Timbercreek Financial Declares September 2022 Cash Dividend, Payable on October 14, 2022

Timbercreek Financial (TSE:TF) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of CA$0.0575