Stock Analysis

Timbercreek Financial (TSE:TF) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of CA$0.0575

TSX:TF
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Timbercreek Financial Corp. (TSE:TF) will pay a dividend of CA$0.0575 on the 15th of August. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 9.1%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for Timbercreek Financial

Timbercreek Financial's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. The last payment made up 95% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. Since the dividend is just paying out cash to shareholders, we care more about the cash payout ratio from which we can see plenty is being left over for reinvestment in the business.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 2.3%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 94%, which is on the higher side, but certainly still feasible.

historic-dividend
TSX:TF Historic Dividend July 25th 2023

Timbercreek Financial Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

Timbercreek Financial's dividend has been pretty stable for a little while now, but we will continue to be cautious until it has been demonstrated for a few more years. Since 2016, the annual payment back then was CA$0.684, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CA$0.69. Its dividends have grown at less than 1% per annum over this time frame. Timbercreek Financial hasn't been paying a dividend for very long, so we wouldn't get to excited about its record of growth just yet.

Timbercreek Financial May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Although it's important to note that Timbercreek Financial's earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time. There are exceptions, but limited earnings growth and a high payout ratio can signal that a company has reached maturity. That's fine as far as it goes, but we're less enthusiastic as this often signals that the dividend is likely to grow slower in the future.

Our Thoughts On Timbercreek Financial's Dividend

Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Timbercreek Financial (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Timbercreek Financial not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.