Stock Analysis

Timbercreek Financial (TSE:TF) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of CA$0.0575

TSX:TF
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The board of Timbercreek Financial Corp. (TSE:TF) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 15th of September, with investors receiving CA$0.0575 per share. The dividend yield will be 9.5% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for Timbercreek Financial

Timbercreek Financial's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Before this announcement, Timbercreek Financial was paying out 91% of earnings, but a comparatively small 59% of free cash flows. Since the dividend is just paying out cash to shareholders, we care more about the cash payout ratio from which we can see plenty is being left over for reinvestment in the business.

Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 0.7% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 92%, which is on the higher side, but certainly still feasible.

historic-dividend
TSX:TF Historic Dividend August 28th 2023

Timbercreek Financial Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

Even though the company has been paying a consistent dividend for a while, we would like to see a few more years before we feel comfortable relying on it. The annual payment during the last 7 years was CA$0.684 in 2016, and the most recent fiscal year payment was CA$0.69. Its dividends have grown at less than 1% per annum over this time frame. Timbercreek Financial hasn't been paying a dividend for very long, so we wouldn't get to excited about its record of growth just yet.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Earnings have grown at around 2.9% a year for the past five years, which isn't massive but still better than seeing them shrink. There are exceptions, but limited earnings growth and a high payout ratio can signal that a company has reached maturity. That's fine as far as it goes, but we're less enthusiastic as this often signals that the dividend is likely to grow slower in the future.

Our Thoughts On Timbercreek Financial's Dividend

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We don't think Timbercreek Financial is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Timbercreek Financial (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about. Is Timbercreek Financial not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.