Stock Analysis

Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Rivalry Corp. (CVE:RVLY) Following 59% Share Price Slump

TSXV:RVLY
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Rivalry Corp. (CVE:RVLY) share price has dived 59% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 82% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, Rivalry may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Hospitality industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Rivalry

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:RVLY Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 16th 2024

How Has Rivalry Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Rivalry has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Rivalry's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Rivalry's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 46% last year. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 241% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 222% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Rivalry's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Rivalry's P/S

Rivalry's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Hospitality companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've seen that Rivalry currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecast growth is in line with the wider industry. Despite average revenue growth estimates, there could be some unobserved threats keeping the P/S low. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Rivalry (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.