Stock Analysis

Is Colabor Group (TSE:GCL) Using Too Much Debt?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Colabor Group Inc. (TSE:GCL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Colabor Group

What Is Colabor Group's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Colabor Group had debt of CA$53.8m at the end of September 2021, a reduction from CA$64.5m over a year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:GCL Debt to Equity History December 9th 2021

How Strong Is Colabor Group's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Colabor Group had liabilities of CA$52.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$80.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$852.0k and CA$40.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CA$91.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CA$81.6m, we think shareholders really should watch Colabor Group's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While we wouldn't worry about Colabor Group's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.6, we think its super-low interest cover of 2.4 times is a sign of high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. On the other hand, Colabor Group grew its EBIT by 28% in the last year. If it can maintain that kind of improvement, its debt load will begin to melt away like glaciers in a warming world. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Colabor Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Colabor Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

Colabor Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to cover its interest expense with its EBIT. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Colabor Group's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Colabor Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:GCL

Colabor Group

Colabor Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, markets, distributes, and wholesales food and food-related products in Canada.

Undervalued with mediocre balance sheet.

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