Stock Analysis

Canada Goose Holdings Inc.'s (TSE:GOOS) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

TSX:GOOS
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 35.6x Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (TSE:GOOS) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Canada have P/E ratios under 13x and even P/E's lower than 6x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Canada Goose Holdings has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Canada Goose Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:GOOS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 21st 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Canada Goose Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Canada Goose Holdings' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Canada Goose Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 23%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 18% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 79% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 17% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Canada Goose Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Canada Goose Holdings maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Canada Goose Holdings (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.