There wouldn't be many who think Gildan Activewear Inc.'s (TSE:GIL) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.1x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Canada is similar at about 15x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
We've discovered 2 warning signs about Gildan Activewear. View them for free.While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Gildan Activewear's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
View our latest analysis for Gildan Activewear
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Gildan Activewear's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 19% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 14% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 19% per annum as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 13% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Gildan Activewear is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Gildan Activewear's P/E?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Gildan Activewear's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Gildan Activewear you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Gildan Activewear, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:GIL
Good value with adequate balance sheet.
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