Stock Analysis

Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On The Caldwell Partners International Inc. (TSE:CWL)

TSX:CWL
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x The Caldwell Partners International Inc. (TSE:CWL) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Professional Services companies in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 1.8x and even P/S higher than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Caldwell Partners International

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:CWL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 7th 2024

What Does Caldwell Partners International's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Caldwell Partners International's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Caldwell Partners International's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Caldwell Partners International's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 36% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 58% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 6.3% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Caldwell Partners International's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What Does Caldwell Partners International's P/S Mean For Investors?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We're very surprised to see Caldwell Partners International currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Caldwell Partners International (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.