Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Watching Aduro Clean Technologies' (CSE:ACT) Cash Burn Situation

CNSX:ACT
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So, the natural question for Aduro Clean Technologies (CSE:ACT) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

Check out our latest analysis for Aduro Clean Technologies

When Might Aduro Clean Technologies Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. Aduro Clean Technologies has such a small amount of debt that we'll set it aside, and focus on the CA$4.1m in cash it held at May 2023. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CA$6.5m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 8 months from May 2023. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
CNSX:ACT Debt to Equity History October 4th 2023

How Is Aduro Clean Technologies' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

In our view, Aduro Clean Technologies doesn't yet produce significant amounts of operating revenue, since it reported just CA$110k in the last twelve months. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by a very significant 75%. Oftentimes, increased cash burn simply means a company is accelerating its business development, but one should always be mindful that this causes the cash runway to shrink. Aduro Clean Technologies makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. So we'd generally prefer stocks from this list of stocks that have analysts forecasting growth.

How Hard Would It Be For Aduro Clean Technologies To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Since its cash burn is moving in the wrong direction, Aduro Clean Technologies shareholders may wish to think ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Aduro Clean Technologies' cash burn of CA$6.5m is about 8.9% of its CA$73m market capitalisation. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

Is Aduro Clean Technologies' Cash Burn A Worry?

On this analysis of Aduro Clean Technologies' cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its cash runway has us a bit worried. Looking at the factors mentioned in this short report, we do think that its cash burn is a bit risky, and it does make us slightly nervous about the stock. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Aduro Clean Technologies you should be aware of, and 3 of them make us uncomfortable.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About CNSX:ACT

Aduro Clean Technologies

Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. develops water-based chemical recycling technologies that transform waste plastics, heavy crude and bitumen, and renewable oils into renewable fuels and specialty chemicals.

Mediocre balance sheet with weak fundamentals.