Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Richelieu Hardware Ltd.'s (TSE:RCH) Price

Published
TSX:RCH

When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider Richelieu Hardware Ltd. (TSE:RCH) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 23x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Richelieu Hardware's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Richelieu Hardware

TSX:RCH Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 10th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think Richelieu Hardware's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Richelieu Hardware's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 30%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 27% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 8.1% each year during the coming three years according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 8.4% each year, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's curious that Richelieu Hardware's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Richelieu Hardware's P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Richelieu Hardware's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Richelieu Hardware that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Richelieu Hardware's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.