Stock Analysis

Magellan Aerospace's (TSE:MAL) Dividend Is Being Reduced To CA$0.08

TSX:MAL
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Magellan Aerospace Corporation's (TSE:MAL) dividend is being reduced to CA$0.08 on the 30th of June. The yield is still above the industry average at 5.3%.

Check out our latest analysis for Magellan Aerospace

Magellan Aerospace's Distributions May Be Difficult To Sustain

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Magellan Aerospace is unprofitable despite paying a dividend, and it is paying out 194% of its free cash flow. This makes us feel that the dividend will be hard to maintain.

Looking forward, earnings per share could 43.9% over the next year if the trend of the last few years can't be broken. This means the company will be unprofitable and managers could face the tough choice between continuing to pay the dividend or taking pressure off the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
TSX:MAL Historic Dividend May 26th 2022

Magellan Aerospace Is Still Building Its Track Record

Even though the company has been paying a consistent dividend for a while, we would like to see a few more years before we feel comfortable relying on it. The dividend has gone from CA$0.12 in 2013 to the most recent annual payment of CA$0.32. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 12% over that duration. Magellan Aerospace has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. However, things aren't all that rosy. Earnings per share has been sinking by 44% over the last five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.

Magellan Aerospace's Dividend Doesn't Look Great

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The company's earnings aren't high enough to be making such big distributions, and it isn't backed up by strong growth or consistency either. We don't think that this is a great candidate to be an income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Magellan Aerospace (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.