Stock Analysis

It's Down 28% But Ballard Power Systems Inc. (TSE:BLDP) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

TSX:BLDP
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Ballard Power Systems Inc. (TSE:BLDP) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 28% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 55% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Ballard Power Systems' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.5x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Canada's Electrical industry. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for Ballard Power Systems

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:BLDP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2025

What Does Ballard Power Systems' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Ballard Power Systems has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ballard Power Systems.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Ballard Power Systems would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 24% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 4.6% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 32% each year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 25% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Ballard Power Systems' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Following Ballard Power Systems' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Ballard Power Systems' P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Ballard Power Systems that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ballard Power Systems might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:BLDP

Ballard Power Systems

Engages in the design, development, manufacture, sale, and service of proton exchange membrane (PEM) fuel cell products.

Flawless balance sheet with limited growth.

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