Ballard Power Systems Inc.

TSX:BLDP Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$571.9m

Ballard Power Systems Valuation

Is BLDP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BLDP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate BLDP's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate BLDP's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BLDP?

Key metric: As BLDP is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BLDP. This is calculated by dividing BLDP's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BLDP's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4.4x
SalesUS$91.96m
Market CapUS$405.91m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BLDP's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BLDP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.6x
HPS.A Hammond Power Solutions
2x7.1%CA$1.5b
HMM.A Hammond Manufacturing
0.5xn/aCA$110.2m
ELVA Electrovaya
1.6x33.2%CA$113.3m
SUN Stardust Solar Energy
2.2xn/aCA$7.0m
BLDP Ballard Power Systems
4.3x23.7%CA$571.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BLDP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.3x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BLDP's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Electrical Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.0x18.4%
BLDP Ballard Power Systems
4.3x23.7%US$409.55m
HPS.A Hammond Power Solutions
2x7.1%US$1.08b
ELVA Electrovaya
1.6x33.2%US$81.16m
BLDP 4.4xIndustry Avg. 2.0xNo. of Companies12PS020406080100+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.0x18.4%
BLDP Ballard Power Systems
4.3x46.6%US$409.55m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BLDP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.3x) compared to the North American Electrical industry average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BLDP's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BLDP PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BLDP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BLDP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$1.91
CA$2.07
+8.6%
32.7%CA$2.78CA$1.00n/a4
Nov ’25CA$2.27
CA$3.01
+32.6%
29.6%CA$4.42CA$1.97n/a4
Oct ’25CA$2.37
CA$3.01
+27.0%
29.6%CA$4.42CA$1.97n/a4
Sep ’25CA$2.49
CA$3.92
+57.4%
40.3%CA$6.18CA$2.00n/a4
Aug ’25CA$2.97
CA$4.43
+49.1%
25.9%CA$6.18CA$3.00n/a4
Jul ’25CA$3.09
CA$4.43
+43.3%
25.9%CA$6.18CA$3.00n/a4
Jun ’25CA$4.20
CA$4.43
+5.5%
25.9%CA$6.18CA$3.00n/a4
May ’25CA$3.64
CA$4.52
+24.1%
21.6%CA$6.11CA$3.52n/a4
Apr ’25CA$4.45
CA$4.52
+1.5%
21.6%CA$6.11CA$3.52n/a4
Mar ’25CA$4.38
CA$4.95
+12.9%
16.3%CA$6.01CA$4.00n/a4
Feb ’25CA$4.48
CA$4.95
+10.4%
16.3%CA$6.01CA$4.00n/a4
Jan ’25CA$4.91
CA$4.88
-0.6%
20.9%CA$6.12CA$3.45n/a4
Dec ’24CA$5.03
CA$5.22
+3.9%
24.5%CA$6.67CA$3.50n/a4
Nov ’24CA$4.57
CA$5.52
+20.7%
14.4%CA$6.50CA$4.50CA$2.274
Oct ’24CA$5.00
CA$5.52
+10.4%
14.4%CA$6.50CA$4.50CA$2.374
Sep ’24CA$5.75
CA$5.52
-4.0%
14.4%CA$6.50CA$4.50CA$2.494
Aug ’24CA$6.33
CA$5.52
-12.8%
14.5%CA$6.54CA$4.50CA$2.974
Jul ’24CA$5.80
CA$5.34
-7.8%
16.1%CA$6.53CA$4.49CA$3.093
Jun ’24CA$5.75
CA$5.82
+1.3%
25.7%CA$7.93CA$4.54CA$4.203
May ’24CA$5.75
CA$6.00
+4.3%
23.8%CA$8.01CA$4.98CA$3.643
Apr ’24CA$7.54
CA$7.29
-3.3%
44.1%CA$11.83CA$5.01CA$4.453
Mar ’24CA$7.72
CA$7.52
-2.6%
38.7%CA$11.59CA$4.99CA$4.383
Feb ’24CA$8.97
CA$7.52
-16.1%
38.7%CA$11.59CA$4.99CA$4.483
Jan ’24CA$6.48
CA$7.78
+20.1%
33.6%CA$11.48CA$5.92CA$4.913
Dec ’23CA$8.31
CA$7.78
-6.4%
33.6%CA$11.48CA$5.92CA$5.033
Nov ’23CA$7.57
CA$9.98
+31.8%
21.3%CA$11.83CA$7.00CA$4.573

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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